Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Why you can't believe any of these MSM polls about the election

WaPo shows Romney/Obama in dead heat.


Look down at the bottom at the breakdown.

23% Republicans
33% Democrats

From a population that is 37% Republican/33% Democrat. 

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/mood_of_america_archive/partisan_trends/summary_of_party_affiliation

One might almost think they were skewing the results on purpose. But I'm sure the sample for the WaPo was carefully chosen to insure complete statistical accuracy.


UPDATE:

It seems that the WaPo is not the only culprit:


The latest CNN/ORC poll released todayshows a wider lead for President Obamathan the previous CNN/ORC poll but it is doubly skewed. It massively under-samples independents while it also over-samples Democratic voters. The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll official reports Obama at 52 to percent and Mitt Romney at 46 percent. Unskewed, the data reveals a 53 percent to 45 percent lead for Romney.
This new CNN/ORC survey, unlike many other analyzed, not only over-samples Democratic voters, but also massively under-samples independent voters, to produce a result more favorable to Barack Obama. This survey's sample includes 397 registered Republicans and 441 registered Democrats. But the survey included a total of 822 registered voters, leaving only 37 independent voters at most. The survey clearly under-sampled independent and Republican voters.

(h/t Sweetness & Light)

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