Monday, February 9, 2026

Inflation Expectations Tumble To 6-Month Lows, Labor Market Optimism Rebounds; NYFed

Inflation Expectations Tumble To 6-Month Lows, Labor Market Optimism Rebounds; NYFed

BY TYLER DURDEN
MONDAY, FEB 09, 2026 - 08:35 AM

Despite the ongoing partisan panic over 'Trump-driven inflation' or whatever narrative-du-jour the mainstream media chooses, inflation expectations tracked by the NY Fed survey of Consumer Expectations dropped to six-month lows. inflation expectations tracked by the NY Fed survey of Consumer Expectations

Median inflation expectations in January declined by 0.3 percentage point at the one-year-ahead horizon to 3.1%and remained steady at the three-year and five-year-ahead horizons at 3.0%.

Additionally, median inflation uncertainty - or the uncertainty expressed regarding future inflation outcomes - decreased at the one-year and three-year-ahead horizons and increased at the five-year-ahead horizon.


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